Okay, this is actually a fun one. Unlike the T1 matchups this week, this one has some real tension to it — and if you watched their LEC game three days ago, you know why.
Recent Form
Here’s the thing nobody’s really talking about: KOI is the hotter team right now. Their recent form guide sits at 83% compared to KC’s 67%. KC lost to G2 just a few days back and have looked a bit inconsistent lately. KOI on the other hand has been rolling — and that win against G2 with Alvaro going full engage support was genuinely impressive. Different playstyle, different energy.
Standings Context
KC is second in the LEC at 7-2, KOI is fourth at 6-3. Close enough that neither team can afford to sleep on this one. Both have everything to play for in terms of EWC qualification seeding.
Key Player
Alvaro. That’s the name to watch. The moment KOI started letting him play aggressive engage supports instead of playing safe, the team looked like a completely different squad. If he gets that pocket pick again, KC’s going to have a much harder time than last Friday.
Head-to-Head
KC leads 3-1 all time, and they just beat KOI 2-1 in the LEC three days ago. But look at the scores — two of those four series went to game three, and the one KOI won was recent. This isn’t a stomp matchup, it never has been.
The Pick
The market basically agrees this is a coin flip at 55/46. I’m going KC because they have the H2H, they already figured out how to beat this KOI once this week, and knowing what’s coming is a big advantage in a rematch. But don’t be shocked if this goes to game three again.
KC wins 2-1.
